Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Implied probability 3%
24-hour volume$12k
Total volume$13.8M
Liquidity$262k
Resolves8 Nov 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 2 Oct, 14:42 UTC | 3% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Tucker Carlson wins and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. It resolves to No in all other cases, including if he loses the nomination or if another candidate replaces him before the election.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%
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