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Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$9.4M
Liquidity$250k
Resolves31 Dec 2026

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Pete Hegseth officially holds the position of head of state of Venezuela on December 31, 2026, at 12 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not hold that specific title by that deadline. Readers often mistake a nomination or appointment for actual leadership, but only confirmed, sworn-in officials count.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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