Will Alice Huang be arrested by March 31, 2027?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 16:15 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 14:58 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 14:24 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Nov, 14:17 UTC | 9% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Alice Huang is taken into physical custody by law enforcement for criminal processing before March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if she remains free or is only detained in ways that do not meet the strict criteria for a qualifying arrest.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%
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