MLB World Series Champion 2026
The market favoured No at 96% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$25k
Total volume$116
Liquidity$83k
Resolved31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 03:15 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 02:15 UTC | 3% |
| 8 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 23:46 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 20:57 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 19:35 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 17:02 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 16:42 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 13:26 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 4% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 5% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 05:41 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 05:08 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 04:55 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 4% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Oct, 00:50 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 20:31 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Oct, 21:44 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 17:20 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 11% |
| 4 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 9% |
| 4 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 12% |
| 4 Oct, 00:01 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 22:43 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 22:03 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 17:49 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 05:48 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Oct, 05:29 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 02:53 UTC | 16% |
| 3 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 07:42 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Oct, 05:05 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Oct, 00:43 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Oct, 23:18 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 22:51 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 22:06 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Oct, 16:52 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Oct, 15:50 UTC | 16% |
What counts
The Yes outcome requires the New York Yankees to win the 2026 World Series. The No outcome applies if any other team wins or if the Yankees are eliminated from playoff contention. Readers often mistake a player injury, such as Aaron Judge's calf strain, for a resolution trigger, but only the final series winner or official MLB elimination status matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
View this market on Polymarket →