Will Jensen Huang be arrested by November 30, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 15:27 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 14:58 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 13:16 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 10:41 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 08:16 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 07:16 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Nov, 06:55 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 05:55 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 05:08 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 04:28 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 3% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Jensen Huang is taken into physical custody by law enforcement for criminal processing before November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if he is not arrested in this manner by that deadline. Readers often mistake the issuance of an arrest warrant or being charged without physical custody as a qualifying event.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 98%
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