Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
Why it moved: −5 points at 23:17 UTC, after www.espn.com: Desperate Phillies to start Nola on two days' rest — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 23:17 UTC | 6% |
| 23 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 15:37 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 14:05 UTC | 11% |
| 22 Sept, 14:05 UTC | 9% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 National League Championship Series and No if they do not. The outcome depends on official results from Major League Baseball or credible reporting consensus. Readers often mistake the end of the regular season for the deadline, but the series must be completed to determine a winner.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 95%
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