Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Implied probability 64%
24-hour volume$252
Total volume$105k
Liquidity$35k
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 64% |
| 27 Sept, 12:39 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if a Democratic nominee wins the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the deadline, but the market resolves only when Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or upon official certification if they do not.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 64%
- No 37%
Trade this market on Polymarket →