Will Kimi Antonelli finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?
Implied probability 0%−57
24-hour volume$30k
Total volume$34k
Liquidity$11k
Resolves3 Oct 2026
Why it moved: −27 points at 11:29 UTC, after SkySports: Azerbaijan GP: Russell on pole as Antonelli starts 16th for 12pm race LIVE! — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 13:06 UTC | 1% |
| 26 Sept, 12:58 UTC | 4% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 27% |
| 26 Sept, 11:38 UTC | 16% |
| 26 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 28% |
| 26 Sept, 10:59 UTC | 56% |
| 26 Sept, 09:49 UTC | 57% |
| 25 Sept, 09:48 UTC | 71% |
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What counts
The "Yes" outcome occurs if Kimi Antonelli finishes in the top three positions according to the FIA's official Final Classification for the race. The "No" outcome applies if he does not finish within those top three spots based on that same classification.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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