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Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability 5%
24-hour volume$78k
Total volume$13.0M
Liquidity$453k
Resolves8 Nov 2028

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to 'Yes' if Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and 'No' otherwise. It relies on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate; if they do not agree by January 20, 2029, it resolves based on who is inaugurated.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 5%
  • No 95%

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