Will Ousmane Dembélé finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$7k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 23 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 0% |
| 22 Oct, 14:24 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The outcome depends on whether Ousmane Dembélé ranks second in the final men's 2026 Ballon d'Or standings published by France Football or UEFA. If he ties for second place, the winner is determined by alphabetical order of names. Readers often mistake the ceremony date of October 26, 2026, as the resolution deadline, but the actual cutoff is December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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