Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
The market favoured Nuggets at 59% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$1.3M
Total volume$16
Liquidity$3k
Resolved12 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 12 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 100% |
| 12 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 100% |
| 11 Nov, 23:52 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Nov, 14:51 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 14:51 UTC | 60% |
What counts
The Nuggets outcome resolves if they win the game; the Grizzlies outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score, including overtime, as reported by official NBA sources. Readers often mistake the deadline for a 50-50 resolution, which only applies if the game is canceled, does not start by Friday, November 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET, or lacks an official result by then.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Nuggets 100%
- Grizzlies 0%
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