Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 7% |
| 28 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 9% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Rand Paul votes Yea on the first final passage vote for crypto market structure legislation in the full Senate before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he votes Nay, Present, or is absent, or if no such qualifying vote occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake committee votes or cloture motions for the decisive final passage vote.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 94%
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