Will "Grand Theft Auto VI: Pre-Load Now" get between 10 and 20 million views on week 1?
Why it moved: +40 points at 12:21 UTC, after www.theregister.com: Rockstar workers vote on union recognition as GTA VI launch looms — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 80% |
| 12 Nov, 15:06 UTC | 80% |
| 12 Nov, 14:38 UTC | 81% |
| 12 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 80% |
| 12 Nov, 13:50 UTC | 80% |
| 12 Nov, 13:16 UTC | 71% |
| 12 Nov, 12:48 UTC | 75% |
| 12 Nov, 12:21 UTC | 80% |
| 11 Nov, 12:21 UTC | 40% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if the specified Rockstar Games YouTube video receives between 10 and 20 million views within seven days of its posting. The No outcome applies if the view count falls outside that range during the same period. Readers often mistake the deadline, assuming it depends on the game's launch date rather than the video's upload time.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 80%
- No 20%
Trade this market on Polymarket → Sponsored link: it carries our referral code. How the site is funded.