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Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability 0%
Total volume$19.0M
Liquidity$2.1M
Resolves8 Nov 2028

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if Eric Trump wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The No outcome applies if he does not win. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election day itself, but the market resolves only when the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate, or by the inauguration date of January 20, 2029, if no consensus is reached.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 0%
  • No 100%

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