Will Harry Kane win the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 11 Nov, 22:59 UTC | 64% |
| 11 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Nov, 07:57 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Nov, 07:23 UTC | 63% |
| 11 Nov, 02:20 UTC | 62% |
| 11 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Nov, 23:08 UTC | 63% |
| 10 Nov, 22:47 UTC | 64% |
| 10 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Nov, 20:41 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 69% |
| 9 Nov, 19:14 UTC | 72% |
| 9 Nov, 17:30 UTC | 73% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Harry Kane is officially named the winner of the 2026 BBC Sports Personality of the Year award. It resolves to No if he fails to win or is not announced as a finalist for the prize. Readers often mistake the Ballon d'Or win mentioned in the linked story for the required BBC award, but only the BBC result counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 65%
- No 36%
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