Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$77k
Liquidity$8k
Resolved19 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 10 Nov, 00:46 UTC | 100% |
| 9 Nov, 00:46 UTC | 99% |
What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Kevin McGonigle is officially named the 2026 American League Rookie of the Year by Major League Baseball. The No outcome applies if any other player wins the award or if no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the regular season rather than the specific date and time in late December.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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