Will Italy vs. France end in a draw?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 12 Nov, 16:56 UTC | 26% |
| 11 Nov, 16:56 UTC | 27% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. It resolves to No if either team wins within that same timeframe. Readers often mistake the deadline for an abandoned game as the final resolution time, but the outcome depends on the official result of the match itself, not just the clock.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 26%
- No 75%
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