Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$76k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 10:21 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 07:46 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 07:29 UTC | 0% |
| 20 Sept, 06:31 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 17:01 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 09:25 UTC | 0% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Sept, 03:59 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Sept, 02:38 UTC | 1% |
| 18 Sept, 00:57 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 22:34 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 22:28 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 21:54 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 21:18 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 20:45 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 20:28 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 19:50 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 18:56 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 18:28 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 17:55 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 17:07 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 16:54 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 16:05 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 15:58 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 14:31 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 14:16 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 2% |
| 17 Sept, 12:55 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 12:08 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 09:55 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 09:02 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 06:25 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Sept, 03:46 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Sept, 00:25 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Sept, 21:19 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Sept, 18:18 UTC | 1% |
| 16 Sept, 14:52 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 10:47 UTC | 0% |
| 16 Sept, 08:41 UTC | 0% |
| 15 Sept, 23:08 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 21:22 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 18:59 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Sept, 05:31 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 19:46 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Anthropic shares begin trading on a public exchange by 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. It resolves to No if the company does not list its shares by that deadline or if it gets acquired by an already public firm. Readers often mistake the linked news story about November plans for the actual resolution date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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