Will the Republicans win Iowa in the 2028 Presidential Election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 69% |
| 11 Nov, 12:36 UTC | 69% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Republican outcome occurs if their nominee wins the most statewide votes in Iowa during the 2028 presidential election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate receives more votes than the Republican nominee. Readers often mistake the resolution trigger, which requires a consensus call from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, rather than just the final certified vote count.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 69%
- No 31%
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