Will Trump meet with Elon Musk in September 2026?
The market favoured Yes at 92% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Why it moved: +5 points at 02:59 UTC, after CBS News Politics: Trump to headline "Golden Age" event with top officials, tech executives — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 25 Sept, 04:11 UTC | 100% |
| 25 Sept, 03:57 UTC | 97% |
| 25 Sept, 03:17 UTC | 98% |
| 25 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 97% |
| 24 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 92% |
What counts
For the Yes outcome, Donald Trump and Elon Musk must meet in person and interact between September 1 and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. The No outcome applies if this specific interaction does not occur within that timeframe. Readers often mistake any public appearance or headline mention for a meeting, but the rule requires actual in-person interaction.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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