Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$2.6M
Liquidity$74k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 15:20 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 14:58 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 12:34 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 03:00 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Nov, 00:11 UTC | 1% |
| 11 Nov, 23:52 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if incontrovertible proof that Jeffrey Epstein is alive appears publicly before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if no such proof emerges by that deadline. Readers often mistake the linked news report about federal failures as sufficient evidence, but only proof of his survival counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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