Fremantle Dockers vs. Brisbane Lions
The market favoured Brisbane Lions at 57% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$0
Resolved3 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 19:56 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 14:10 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 11:29 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 0% |
| 26 Sept, 09:49 UTC | 0% |
| 25 Sept, 09:48 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The market resolves to Fremantle Dockers if they are officially credited with the win and to Brisbane Lions if they are officially credited with the win. The official final result counts, including extra time if applicable. Readers often mistake the headline's claim of a defeat for the official resolution without checking the AFL's published results.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Fremantle Dockers 0%
- Brisbane Lions 100%
View this market on Polymarket →