Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of January 2027 (Style Control On)?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 12 Nov, 08:23 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 21:10 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 17:15 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Nov, 13:31 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 11:58 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Nov, 09:36 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 09:29 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 06:16 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 05:15 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 00:44 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 22:04 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 20:41 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 19:19 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 16:32 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 16:25 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 15:22 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 14:48 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 13:50 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 13:22 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 12:26 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 04:08 UTC | 15% |
| 9 Nov, 22:03 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Nov, 19:58 UTC | 16% |
| 9 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 17:01 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 12:51 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 09:36 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 08:36 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Nov, 08:36 UTC | 17% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves based on Google's rank in the Text Arena Overall leaderboard for Labs on January 31, 2027, at 12:00 PM ET. The 'Yes' outcome occurs if Google ranks third among AI labs; otherwise, it is 'No'. Readers often mistake the deadline time zone or overlook that AutoEval models are excluded from the ranking.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%
Trade this market on Polymarket → Sponsored link: it carries our referral code. How the site is funded.