Trump meets with Putin by December 31?
Implied probability 70%+3
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$143k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 09:16 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Sept, 08:08 UTC | 68% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 66% |
| 21 Sept, 04:00 UTC | 65% |
| 21 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 65% |
| 21 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Sept, 23:24 UTC | 65% |
| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 67% |
| 20 Sept, 16:57 UTC | 68% |
| 20 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 67% |
| 20 Sept, 15:28 UTC | 68% |
| 20 Sept, 09:53 UTC | 67% |
| 20 Sept, 05:46 UTC | 68% |
| 20 Sept, 04:46 UTC | 68% |
| 19 Sept, 13:54 UTC | 68% |
| 19 Sept, 12:01 UTC | 68% |
| 19 Sept, 11:55 UTC | 68% |
| 19 Sept, 11:25 UTC | 68% |
| 19 Sept, 10:27 UTC | 67% |
| 19 Sept, 09:19 UTC | 67% |
| 19 Sept, 08:59 UTC | 68% |
| 19 Sept, 08:09 UTC | 67% |
| 15 Sept, 15:10 UTC | 66% |
| 15 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 65% |
| 15 Sept, 13:01 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 64% |
| 15 Sept, 11:31 UTC | 65% |
| 14 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Sept, 20:31 UTC | 65% |
| 14 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 65% |
| 14 Sept, 19:02 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 64% |
| 14 Sept, 18:10 UTC | 65% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin have any direct personal interaction, such as a handshake or conversation, in person before December 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome depends on credible reporting confirming that both men were present and actively engaged with each other.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 70%
- No 31%
Trade this market on Polymarket →