Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?
Implied probability 17%
24-hour volume$494
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 17% |
| 13 Oct, 04:34 UTC | 16% |
| 13 Oct, 01:28 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Oct, 21:26 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Oct, 16:32 UTC | 16% |
| 11 Oct, 20:34 UTC | 17% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 16% |
| 11 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 17% |
| 11 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 18% |
| 10 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Volodymyr Zelenskyy stops being president for any time before June 30, 2027, or if he announces his resignation or removal before that date. It resolves to No if he remains in office throughout the entire period. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the actual end of his term.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 17%
- No 84%
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