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Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $25m and $30m at auction?

Implied probability 36%
24-hour volume$240
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$4k
Resolves17 Nov 2026
How the odds moved · Will Roy Lichtenstein's “Reflections on ‘Painter and Model’” sell for between $25m and $30m at auction?
0%50%100%36%8 Nov, 05:16 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now36%
9 Nov, 05:16 UTC36%
8 Nov, 05:16 UTC37%

Your call. How does this end?

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What counts

The Yes outcome occurs if the final sale price of Roy Lichtenstein's painting falls between $25 million and $30 million at Sotheby's auction on November 16, 2026. The No outcome applies if the price is outside this range or if no sale completes by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers most often mistake the deadline for resolution, which is November 30, not the auction date.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 36%
  • No 65%

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