Will any contestant beat Luke Littler?
Why it moved: +21 points at 17:24 UTC, after BBC Sport: Sherrock one of 24 'amateurs' taking on Littler — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 17:24 UTC | 70% |
| 21 Oct, 17:02 UTC | 49% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if any contestant wins a leg against Luke Littler during the live Netflix special and the show officially declares that win. It resolves to "No" if no one wins, or if the event is cancelled, postponed past November 30, 2026, or if Littler does not play.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 34%
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