Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 8?
Implied probability 99%+6
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$27k
Resolves8 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +42 points at 17:45 UTC, after CoinDesk: Once a $2 billion Ethereum layer-2, Blast is shutting down after assets plunge 98% — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 99% |
| 2 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 99% |
| 1 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 57% |
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What counts
The outcome depends on whether the closing price of Ethereum on Binance exceeds $2,200 at exactly noon Eastern Time on October 8. Readers often mistake the resolution time for midnight or assume prices from other exchanges count toward the result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 99%
- No 1%
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