Colts vs. Commanders
Implied probability 65%+1
24-hour volume$67k
Total volume$240k
Liquidity$392k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 65% |
| 1 Oct, 19:12 UTC | 65% |
| 30 Sept, 14:50 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Sept, 20:11 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 63% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 64% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 65% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 64% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 62% |
| 27 Sept, 18:53 UTC | 68% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Colts outcome resolves if they win the scheduled NFL game on October 4. The Commanders outcome resolves if they win that same game. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but the result depends solely on the official game winner, not betting lines or predictions.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Colts 65%
- Commanders 36%
Trade this market on Polymarket →