Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by November 8, 2026?
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$80k
Resolves9 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 01:52 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 01:02 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 2% |
| 6 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 23:15 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 3% |
| 5 Nov, 21:34 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Marco Rubio stops serving as Secretary of State at any point before November 8, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement of his resignation or removal by that deadline also triggers a "Yes" resolution, even if the change takes effect later.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
Trade this market on Polymarket →