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Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Resolved: Yes 11m ago

The market favoured No at 56% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$11k
Liquidity$0
Resolved13 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +61 points at 00:43 UTC, after CBS Sports Headlines: Yankees vs. Rays ALDS Game 2 parlay, MLB picks: Runs might be at premium behind Cam Schlittler, Freddy Peralta — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
0%50%100%100%4 Oct, 22:49 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
6 Oct, 00:43 UTC100%
6 Oct, 00:23 UTC39%
5 Oct, 23:42 UTC43%
5 Oct, 22:49 UTC44%
4 Oct, 22:49 UTC43%

What counts

The market resolves to Yes if at least one run scores in the first inning of the Yankees vs. Rays game. It resolves to No if no runs score in that specific period. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, but the outcome depends on the official final statistics from MLB.com.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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