UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)
Implied probability 52%−2
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$28k
Liquidity$155k
Resolves11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 52% |
| 10 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Brendan Allen wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight. Christian Leroy Duncan wins if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the October 24 postponement deadline for the resolution date, but the market resolves based on the official UFC result regardless of when it occurs.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Brendan Allen 52%
- Christian Leroy Duncan 49%
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