Spread: Saints (-3.5)
The market favoured Browns at 52% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$409k
Total volume$410k
Liquidity$220k
Resolved8 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 8 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Nov, 17:22 UTC | 54% |
| 8 Nov, 16:34 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Nov, 13:14 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Nov, 13:14 UTC | 49% |
What counts
The Saints outcome triggers if they win by four points or more. The Browns outcome triggers if they win by three points or fewer, or if the game ends in a tie. Readers often forget that overtime counts toward the final margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Saints 0%
- Browns 100%
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