Spread: Oregon (-11.5)
Implied probability 47%−2
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$71k
Resolves14 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 47% |
| 12 Nov, 16:29 UTC | 48% |
| 12 Nov, 14:03 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Nov, 13:50 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Nov, 08:50 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Nov, 08:10 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Nov, 07:29 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Nov, 04:08 UTC | 49% |
| 12 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 49% |
| 10 Nov, 01:05 UTC | 50% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Oregon wins if it beats Michigan by 12 points or more; otherwise, Michigan wins. The game must start by Monday, November 16, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET to count as a live result. Readers often mistake the original Saturday date for the final deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Oregon 47%
- Michigan 54%
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