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Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?

Implied probability 25%+4
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
How the odds moved · Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?
0%50%100%25%4 Oct, 10:54 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now25%
5 Oct, 14:09 UTC25%
5 Oct, 13:39 UTC25%
5 Oct, 13:12 UTC25%
5 Oct, 12:58 UTC25%
5 Oct, 12:24 UTC24%
5 Oct, 11:57 UTC22%
5 Oct, 10:54 UTC21%
4 Oct, 10:54 UTC21%

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What counts

The market resolves based on whether Manchester City is expelled from the Premier League as a sanction for the 115 charges case. The final determination relies on official announcements from the Premier League, regulatory bodies, or credible reporting by June 30, 2027. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking it depends on the appeal verdict date rather than the June 30, 2027 cutoff.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 25%
  • No 75%

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