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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5

Implied probability 50%+9
24-hour volume$672k
Total volume$672k
Liquidity$366k
Resolves24 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +6 points at 09:29 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Aston Villa vs Manchester City LIVE: Premier League — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5
0%50%100%50%23 Oct, 09:28 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now50%
24 Oct, 10:37 UTC50%
24 Oct, 10:10 UTC49%
24 Oct, 09:36 UTC48%
24 Oct, 09:29 UTC47%
23 Oct, 09:28 UTC41%

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What counts

The Over outcome requires Aston Villa and Manchester City to score four or more goals combined during regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their total is fewer than four goals. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but the market relies on official Premier League statistics rather than live updates or other sports sites.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Over 50%
  • Under 51%

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