Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
The market favoured Grizzlies at 50% a day out, but Nuggets won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$26k
Total volume$25k
Liquidity$98k
Resolved12 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 12 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 100% |
| 12 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 76% |
| 11 Nov, 21:24 UTC | 47% |
What counts
The Nuggets outcome occurs if they win by five points or more. The Grizzlies outcome applies if they win, tie, or if the game does not start or conclude by Friday, November 13, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the original Wednesday date for the final deadline instead of the Friday cutoff.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Nuggets 100%
- Grizzlies 0%
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