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How much the press wrote about International Monetary Fund each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 05:15 UTC | 1% |
| 13 Oct, 04:54 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 12:31 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 12:09 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 08:42 UTC | 0% |
| 8 Oct, 07:45 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 22:32 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 15:48 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 12:26 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 11:59 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 10:29 UTC | 1% |
| 7 Oct, 09:48 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 2% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 2% |
A global selloff in chipmakers and tech stocks triggers a rotation into Indian software services as investors reassess the sustainability of artificial intelligence spending.
Kalshi Bloomberg 4%Investors demand higher premiums for French debt, raising fears of a eurozone crisis as the government struggles with fiscal deficits and political instability.
Kalshi Above $4.3 trillion 6%Global bond yields reach multi-decade peaks, prompting the IMF to cite them as a top financial risk while investors reassess US Treasury values.