Yemenis Face Economic Crisis Amid Soaring Costs and Conflict
Intensifying fighting in Yemen drives a deepening economic crisis with unpaid salaries and rising prices for residents in Aden and Sanaa.
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The odds
All 1 source published before price tracking began
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 07:10 UTC | 2% |
| 12 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Oct, 12:47 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 12:27 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 10:02 UTC | 3% |
| 10 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 2% |
| 10 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 2% |
| 9 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 07:29 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 3% |
| 9 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 5% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 9 October at 05:53 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? — the market puts it at 2%, with $80 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. For the market to resolve to Yes, Yemeni forces must physically enter the city of Sanaa by October 31 at 11:59 PM ET. This entry requires troops on the ground and excludes foreign state forces acting alone or emissaries on diplomatic missions. Readers often mistake threats or claims of entry for actual physical presence, which does not count toward resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31? 2%
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In this story
- Yemen
- Aden
- Sanaa