US trial begins for Rwandan-American accused of genocide role
Eric Nshimiye challenges the reliability of eyewitness accounts as his trial commences in the United States.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 15 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 25% |
| 14 Oct, 13:19 UTC | 30% |
| 13 Oct, 16:04 UTC | 29% |
| 13 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 31% |
| 13 Oct, 08:47 UTC | 28% |
| 13 Oct, 04:41 UTC | 32% |
| 13 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 31% |
| 12 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 19% |
| 11 Oct, 00:32 UTC | 18% |
| 9 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 17% |
| 7 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 18% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 13 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 13 October at 22:15 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Rwanda — the market puts it at 24%, with $118 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The 'Yes' outcome occurs if a confirmed human case of Ebola in Rwanda is officially reported between now and January 1, 2027. The 'No' outcome applies if no such case is reported within that timeframe. Readers often mistake the linked F1 story for the resolution criteria, but only Ebola cases count.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Rwanda 24% −6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Eric Nshimiye
- Rwanda
- United States