Trump's 2020 Obsession Weighs on Arizona Republicans

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 10 Oct 2026. politico.com published first, on 10 October at 11:00 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• Arizona — the market puts it at 99%, with $100 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within Arizona between October 1, 2026, and November 1, 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the year instead of November 1.
• Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? — the market puts it at 12%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The Yes outcome occurs if the Republican nominee wins the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election. The No outcome applies if any other candidate wins. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution source, but the market relies on calls from the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC, or official certification if those sources do not agree.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.