Trump Pushes For Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac Stock Offering
Former Freddie Mac CEO Don Layton discusses the feasibility of releasing the mortgage giants from conservatorship under President Donald Trump's proposed stock offering plans.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 4% |
| 8 Oct, 11:36 UTC | 4% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 9 October at 12:00 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jun 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 4%, closing 1 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Freddie Mac officially confirms an initial public offering before June 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake news reports of Trump’s push for a stock offering as confirmation, but only Freddie Mac's official statement counts.
- Yes — the market puts it at 6%, with $16 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey released between now and December 31, 2026, reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average is below 5.75%. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date of the survey rather than the release date.
- Before Jun 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 17%, closing 1 Jun 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Fannie Mae officially confirms an initial public offering before June 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such confirmation occurs by that date. Readers often mistake news reports or rumors for the official confirmation required for resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jun 1, 2027 4%
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- Kalshi Yes 6% +1
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- Kalshi Before Jun 1, 2027 17%
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In this story
- Fannie Mae
- Freddie Mac
- Don Layton
- Donald Trump
- JPMorgan