Toy Story 5 Tops Streaming Charts With Disney+ Premiere
The animated sequel leads the week's rankings alongside strong performances from Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story and Neagley.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 43% |
| 12 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 20:42 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Oct, 20:29 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Oct, 19:34 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 18:47 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 18:16 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 17:56 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Oct, 17:05 UTC | 41% |
| 12 Oct, 16:25 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 15:54 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 43% |
| 12 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 42% |
| 12 Oct, 14:04 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 01:31 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 35% |
| 12 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 36% |
| 11 Oct, 23:50 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 20:47 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 19:52 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 17:48 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 31% |
| 11 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 33% |
| 11 Oct, 10:38 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 10:27 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 09:40 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 08:19 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 07:54 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 07:26 UTC | 32% |
| 11 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 34% |
| 11 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 37% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 38% |
| 11 Oct, 02:54 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 01:34 UTC | 57% |
| 11 Oct, 01:16 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 20:41 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 20:28 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 18:46 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 59% |
| 10 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 13:14 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 12:27 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 11:41 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 10:24 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 09:55 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 08:50 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 57% |
| 10 Oct, 07:24 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 06:51 UTC | 58% |
| 10 Oct, 06:26 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 05:13 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 03:33 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 02:46 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 02:26 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 56% |
| 10 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 55% |
| 10 Oct, 00:19 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 23:59 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 21:51 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 21:23 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 19:37 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 19:17 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 16:09 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 54% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 13:20 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 11:15 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 07:49 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 07:16 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 55% |
| 9 Oct, 06:25 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 05:27 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 04:53 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 04:15 UTC | 58% |
| 9 Oct, 03:20 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 02:55 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 02:28 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 57% |
| 9 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 56% |
| 9 Oct, 00:16 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 23:56 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 23:23 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 22:10 UTC | 56% |
| 8 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 57% |
| 7 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 56% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 8 Oct 2026. TV | Hollywood Reporter published first, on 8 October at 21:47 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Toy Story 5 rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? — the market puts it at 43%, with $144 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 31 Dec 2026. The outcome is Yes if Toy Story 5 appears in the Top 5 of Google’s official Global Year in Search Movies list for 2026. The market resolves to No if the movie does not rank in that specific list or if Google fails to publish the list by March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the streaming performance shown in news headlines for the required search ranking data.
- Toy Story 5 — the market puts it at 13%, closing 3 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if Toy Story 5 wins Best Animated Feature at the 32nd Critics Choice Awards. The outcome is No if it does not win that specific award. Readers often mistake general streaming success or other awards for the official resolution criteria.
- Toy Story 5 — the market puts it at 92%, closing 31 Dec 2027. The outcome is Yes if Toy Story 5 receives a nomination for Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the streaming success of the film as relevant to the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Toy Story 5 rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched Movies of 2026? 43% +12
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Toy Story 5 13%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Toy Story 5 92%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Disney+
- Toy Story 5
- Monster: The Lizzie Borden Story
- Neagley