Tesla And Musk Still Lack Clear Definition Of 'Abundance' One Year Later
The CEO promised to get more specific about his vision, but the details remain absent.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 1 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 6% |
| 29 Sept, 13:42 UTC | 7% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 2% |
| 28 Sept, 01:03 UTC | 5% |
| 26 Sept, 15:48 UTC | 7% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 6% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 2% |
| 26 Sept, 03:08 UTC | 5% |
| 25 Sept, 17:52 UTC | 6% |
| 25 Sept, 17:27 UTC | 3% |
| 24 Sept, 23:14 UTC | 5% |
| 24 Sept, 22:38 UTC | 4% |
| 24 Sept, 19:38 UTC | 2% |
| 24 Sept, 17:48 UTC | 7% |
| 24 Sept, 17:09 UTC | 5% |
| 23 Sept, 16:04 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 1 Oct 2026. TechCrunch published first, on 1 October at 15:50 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 2%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Elon Musk ceases to be Tesla's CEO before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he remains in that role through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the release date of the linked documentary for the resolution deadline.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before 2027 2%
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In this story
- Tesla
- Musk