Senate GOP Chair Criticizes Trump Admin Over Measles Surge
Senator Bill Cassidy urges the public to get vaccinated as he criticizes the administration's response to a deadly measles outbreak.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 66% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 66% |
| 15 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 44% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 49% |
| 13 Oct, 16:30 UTC | 44% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 14 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 14 October at 16:40 UTC.
One prediction market prices this story:
- At least 5000 — the market puts it at 66%, with $15 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2029. The market resolves to Yes if the average annual number of measles cases between 2025 and 2028 reaches at least 5000. It resolves to No if that four-year average falls below 5000. Readers often mistake the deadline for a single year’s total rather than the average across all four years.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi At least 5000 66% +22
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Bill Cassidy
- Trump administration