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Philippines Drops Three Impeachment Charges Against Vice President Sara Duterte

The Philippine Senate approved the withdrawal of three charges against Vice President Sara Duterte to expedite her trial.

2 publishers · 2 articles · first seen 13 Oct 2026 · updated 1h ago

The odds

How the odds moved · Before Jan 1, 2027
0%50%100%35%12 Oct, 11:46 UTCnowABC News: Prosecutors drop 3 impeachment charges against Philippine VP to speed up trial · 13 Oct, 12:20 UTCSouth China Morning Post: Philippines drops 3 impeachment charges against Sara Duterte despite evidence · 13 Oct, 07:56 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now35%
13 Oct, 12:37 UTC35%
12 Oct, 11:46 UTC32%

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 13 Oct 2026. South China Morning Post published first, on 13 October at 07:56 UTC; ABC News followed 4h 24m later. The most recent article, from ABC News, appeared on 13 October at 12:20 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: ABC News (major outlet), South China Morning Post.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 35%, with $8 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Sara Duterte ceases to hold the office of Vice President of the Philippines before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if she remains in that role through the end of that date. Readers often mistake the dropping of impeachment charges for leaving office, but only her actual departure from the position counts.
  • Sara Duterte — the market puts it at 56%, closing 31 May 2029. The market resolves to Yes if Sara Duterte wins the next Philippine presidential election. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked Senate news for the deciding event, but only the presidential election result matters.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Prosecutors drop 3 impeachment charges against Philippine VP to speed up trial ABC News ·
  2. Philippines drops 3 impeachment charges against Sara Duterte despite evidence South China Morning Post

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 35% +3 $8 24hends 1 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Sara Duterte 56% $0 24hends 31 May 2029

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Sara Duterte
  • Philippine Senate
  • Gerville Luistro
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