OpenAI London staff earn average £2.3m annually as firm targets $1tn valuation
Accounts reveal 110 employees shared £87m in salaries and £168m in shares last year while the company pursues a public listing.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 15:05 UTC | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 14:35 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Oct, 04:01 UTC | 3% |
| 15 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 6% |
| 14 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 9% |
| 14 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 18% |
| 14 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 14% |
| 14 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 17% |
| 14 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 27% |
| 14 Oct, 13:05 UTC | 47% |
| 14 Oct, 08:03 UTC | 55% |
| 14 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 30% |
| 14 Oct, 04:20 UTC | 27% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 35% |
| 13 Oct, 22:11 UTC | 34% |
| 12 Oct, 22:01 UTC | 0% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 14 Oct 2026. The Guardian published first, on 14 October at 19:15 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Above 20.5% — the market puts it at 1%, closing 19 Oct 2026. The outcome is Yes if OpenAI's text market share exceeds 20.5% on OpenRouter during the week of October 12, 2026. The outcome is No if that share stays at or below 20.5% for the same period. Readers often mistake the linked news story about staff salaries for the actual data source, but only OpenRouter market share counts.
- Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? — the market puts it at 3%, with $8k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2028. The outcome is Yes if OpenAI’s IPO valuation reaches at least $2.5 trillion based on its final prospectus filed with the SEC. The valuation must come from the final offering price multiplied by fully diluted shares, not from trading prices after listing or preliminary price ranges. Readers often mistake post-listing stock performance for the resolution value, but only the official SEC filing counts.
- Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? — the market puts it at 36%, with $901 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 30 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on OpenAI's private valuation reported by Nasdaq Private Market for the last trading day of November 2026. If OpenAI goes public before that date, the resolution uses its public market capitalization calculated from the final closing price and total shares outstanding on that same day.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Above 20.5% 1%
Does the market have this right?
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- Polymarket Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? 3% −12
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- Polymarket Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026? 36% −8
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