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NPR Reports on Ohio's Battleground 9th District Ahead of Midterms

Reporter Scott Simon visits the state's 9th Congressional District to hear from voters about their priorities before next month's midterms.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 10 Oct 2026 · updated 3d ago

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The odds

How the odds moved · Ohio
0%50%100%96%9 Oct, 12:43 UTCnowNPR Politics: On the ground in Ohio's 9th District: The battleground shaping next month's midterms · 10 Oct, 11:40 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now96%
11 Oct, 21:43 UTC96%
10 Oct, 19:50 UTC98%
10 Oct, 12:54 UTC94%
9 Oct, 12:43 UTC96%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 10 Oct 2026. NPR Politics published first, on 10 October at 11:40 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Ohio — the market puts it at 96%, with $19 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if the Ohio legislature adopts new congressional district maps between now and November 1, 2026. It resolves to No if no such maps are adopted by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the resolution deadline.
  • Kaptur, 3+ pts — the market puts it at 56%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the Democratic Party wins Ohio's 9th District race by a margin of at least 3 percentage points. The outcome is No if the Democratic Party wins by less than 3 percentage points or loses the election entirely. Readers often mistake the linked NPR article for the source of truth, but only the official certified election results determine the resolution.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. On the ground in Ohio's 9th District: The battleground shaping next month's midterms NPR Politics ·

Markets on this story

  • Kalshi Ohio 96% −2 $19 24hends 1 Nov 2026

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Kaptur, 3+ pts 56% $0 24hends 3 Nov 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

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In this story

  • Scott Simon
  • Ohio
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