Messi scores twice as Inter Miami beat Atlanta United 3-1
The Argentine forward's two second-half goals lift his MLS-leading tally to 25 in the victory.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 95% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 95% |
| 17 Oct, 13:41 UTC | 91% |
| 17 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 95% |
| 16 Oct, 08:59 UTC | 91% |
| 15 Oct, 03:10 UTC | 90% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 97% |
| 14 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 90% |
| 14 Oct, 03:35 UTC | 91% |
| 13 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 97% |
| 13 Oct, 15:57 UTC | 49% |
| 11 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 14:13 UTC | 77% |
| 10 Oct, 13:43 UTC | 91% |
| 10 Oct, 02:13 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 25% |
| 4 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 63% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 65% |
| 2 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 90% |
| 30 Sept, 19:09 UTC | 66% |
| 28 Sept, 08:38 UTC | 89% |
| 28 Sept, 08:17 UTC | 86% |
| 28 Sept, 07:51 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 74% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 19% |
| 27 Sept, 08:29 UTC | 75% |
| 27 Sept, 02:30 UTC | 16% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 75% |
| 24 Sept, 11:35 UTC | 74% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 18 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 18 October at 02:20 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Lionel Messi — the market puts it at 95%, closing 15 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Lionel Messi finishes the 2026 MLS regular season with the most goals of any player. The outcome is No if he does not lead the league in goals. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of the playoffs instead of the conclusion of the regular season.
- Lionel Messi — the market puts it at 93%, closing 10 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Lionel Messi finishes in the top 10 of the official 2026 Ballon d'Or rankings. It resolves to No if he does not reach that threshold. Readers often mistake the purchase of a football club for an achievement that counts toward this specific award ranking.
- Lionel Messi — the market puts it at 19%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 10 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Lionel Messi finishes in the top three of the official 2026 men's Ballon d'Or ranking. It resolves to No if he does not reach that position. Readers often mistake the deadline for the award ceremony date instead of the final publication of the official rankings.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Lionel Messi 95%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Lionel Messi 93%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Lionel Messi 19% −5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Lionel Messi
- Inter Miami
- Atlanta United