Melat Kiros wins Colorado primary by appealing to Gen Z voters
The democratic socialist candidate defeated the 15-term incumbent by focusing on issues that resonate with younger demographics.
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 27% |
| 8 Oct, 10:23 UTC | 27% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 9 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 9 October at 10:00 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- At least 80% — the market puts it at 27%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Melat Kiros receives between 80% and 100% of the popular vote in the certified results of the 2026 CO-01 House election. The outcome depends entirely on the official certification, not on early returns or polls. Readers often mistake preliminary news reports for the final certified count.
- Melat Kiros — the market puts it at 98%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if the person sworn in as the U.S. Representative for Colorado's 1st Congressional District for the term starting in 2027 belongs to the Democratic Party. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the date of the primary election or the winner of the general election for the resolution criteria, but only the party affiliation of the official sworn in for the 2027 term matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Kalshi At least 80% 27%
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- Kalshi Melat Kiros 98%
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In this story
- Melat Kiros
- Diana DeGette